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Temporary jobs in Quedgeley

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Interim Financial Accountant

Posted 5 days ago by Anderson Recruitment Ltd

Our constantly developing manufacturing client based in Quedgeley, Gloucester is one of the UK's biggest success stories in recent times! They are currently recruiting for an Interim Financial Accountant to join them ASAP for approx. 3 months. The Financial Accountant position will closely support … more

Travel Coordinator

Posted 23/11/2023 by RE People

Travel Coordinator – immediate start. £11-14 DOE. Gloucester. Monday-Friday, 12:30pm finish Friday. 3 month contract initially. Are you an organised, administrator/PA/Coordinator to join a thriving global business. My clients, are looking to appoint a travel coordinator/administrator/junior PA to … more

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Opinion Groups

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Paid Emails – Work From Home. Job Description. Immediate Start - Earn Extra Money In Your Spare Time. We are currently looking for members to start working online and from home - flexible hours. All you need is a smartphone, tablet or laptop to get involved. Opinion Groups UK could help you earn …

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Research Tribe

Posted by Research Tribe

Would you like to work from home and be rewarded for sharing your opinion. Research Tribe is looking for people across the UK to take part in remote research opportunities. You could become a mystery shopper, product tester or simply share your opinion through surveys, focus groups and more. In …

Healthcare Assistant

temp jobs quedgeley

Posted by Higher Healthcare

About Higher Healthcare. Higher Healthcare is a leading healthcare agency dedicated to providing healthcare professionals to our clients. We work with a wide range of clients across the healthcare sector, including nursing and care homes, hospitals, and supported living. We are committed to …

Drivers Mate

Posted 15/11/2023 by Pertemps Gloucester

Drivers Mate required in Gloucester, paying £10.60ph, to work ad-hoc shifts between Monday & Friday, flexibility required, due to location & start times, you will require your own transport or live local to the depo, Please note this is flexible daily bookings. Job description. Starting at 06:00am, … more

Postal Delivery Driver

Posted a week ago by Pertemps Gloucester

Christmas Postal Delivery Driver needed in Quedgeley Gloucester, paying a short term peak rate of £16.58ph Monday to Saturday and £17.19ph for Sundays (peak rates will reduce back down to £13.37ph Monday to Saturday and £14.49ph Sundays), this is a temporary but ongoing role, with immediate starts, … more

Part Time Work From Home Research Panelist - Data Entry Clerk Welcome

Posted by Apex Focus Group

Data Entry Clerk - Paid Market Research Panelist - Remote Part-Time or Full-Time Work At Home Position. Are you a data entry clerk looking for ways to make extra income remotely from home. Our company is seeking motivated individuals to take part in nationwide & local paid Focus Groups and Market …

Work From Home Online Part Time

925 Home Jobs

Posted by 925 Home Jobs

Part Time - Work From Home - Flexible. Overview - Home Based, Immediate Start Completing Simple Online Offers, Tasks and Promotions. Time Required. Flexible - Temporary - Part Time - Flexible Hours - Evening - Weekends - Immediate Start - No Experience Required. What's Involved. Hours are to suit …

Parcel Driver

Posted a week ago by Gi Group

Driver. Pay: £13.76 per hour. Location: Gloucester. Hours of work: Monday to Friday 8am - 6pm. Job Type: Temporary with possible opportunity of a permanent role. Want to work for one of the most iconic companies? Our client the most trusted and successful parcel delivery business, has an exciting … more

Posted 14/11/2023 by Gi Group

HGV Class 1 Drivers

Posted 17/11/2023 by SourceCo Recruitment

SourceCo are looking to recruit Class 1 HGV drivers with 2 years' experience. The opportunity - SourceCo Driving are proud to represent blue chip 3PL company . Who are now looking to recruit HGV C+E (Class 1) Drivers to join their team. The job can range from general haulage to working on 3rd party … more

Credit Controller

Posted 6 days ago by T2M Technical Ltd

Credit Controller – Temporary Contract, up to 3 months. Salary: up to £16 per hour. Location: Gloucester with hybrid working. T2M Resourcing are recruiting experienced Credit Controllers on behalf of a successful and rapidly growing engineering services company. This is initially offered as a … more

Night Warehouse Operative

Posted a week ago by Acorn by Synergie

Warehouse Operative - Nights. Monday to Friday 11.30pm - 8am. £11.31 Per Hour. Temp to perm Opportunity. Bristol Road Area in Gloucester. Acorn by Synergie is currently recruiting for Warehouse Operatives to work night shifts Monday to Friday for an exciting logistics and distribution company based … more

Warehouse Operative

Posted 13/11/2023 by Chase Associates Ltd

We are looking for someone to join our client in Gloucester, immediate start. Main duties include but are not limited to. Receiving goods at the loading/receiving dock and unloading containers. Wrapping and stacking of pallets. Storing received goods in the appropriate locations within the … more

Head of Finance

Posted a week ago by Distinct Consultancy

Head of Finance - £350 - £550 per day (inside IR35) + 3 to 6 Month term…. The Company. We are working with one of the leading specialist manufacturers of high-specification products used in a variety of engineering sectors. With a long history of innovation, a right first-time culture, and an … more

Forklift Driver

Posted 21/11/2023 by Travail Employment Group

Forklift Driver/Warehouse with Reach and Counterbalance Licence required for a Gloucester based Distribution Company - GL10 3DP - £11.76 p/h - Working Monday to Friday 7am til 4.30pm - ASAP start - Temporary which may lead to permanent for the right person. The role will involve the following. … more

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1:1 Teaching Assistant GL15

Posted 2 days ago by Team Educate Ltd

Team Educate is seeking experienced 1:1 Teaching Assistants to support our teachers in the classroom. We are seeking really reliable and committed individuals who have a genuine care for the children in their care. We are looking for someone who is punctual and very dependable. This position will … more

Concrete Technician

Posted 4 days ago by Orbital Recruitment

Orbital Recruitment are currently looking for a Concrete Technician for our client based in Moreton Valance, Gloucestershire. Duties. Reporting to the Technical Manager the main duties will include. Concrete sampling from customers' site and production units. Testing for product quality and … more

Logistics Operative

Posted 2 days ago by Belmont Recruitment

Belmont Recruitment are working with Gloucestershire Council to recruit for multiple Logistic Operatives. We are looking for someone who is an experienced van driver with excellent driving skills and good geographical knowledge of Gloucestershire. The ideal candidate will have. Experience in … more

Posted 5 days ago by Meriden Media

Christmas Postal Delivery Driver needed, paying a short term peak rate of £16.58ph Monday to Saturday and £17.19ph for Sundays (peak rates will reduce back down to £13.37ph Monday to Saturday and £14.49ph Sundays), this is a temporary but ongoing role, with immediate starts, working 5 to 6 shifts … more

B6 Emergency Physiotherapist *Exclusive Rates*

Posted 23/11/2023 by TLTP Medical

Join TLTP Medical as a B6 Emergency Physiotherapist in Gloucestershire. Are you a skilled B6 Physiotherapist eager to embark on your next exciting opportunity? TLTP Medical is currently seeking a B6 Emergency Physiotherapist to join a local NHS Trust in Gloucestershire. Position Overview. Role … more

Teaching Assistant

Posted 13/11/2023 by Class people

Are you passionate about education and looking for flexible work opportunities? Class People, a leading recruitment agency specialising in education, is currently seeking dedicated and enthusiastic Temporary Supply Teaching Assistants to support schools across Gloucestershire. If you have a desire … more

Administrator

Posted a week ago by Service Care Solutions

Hi all I'm currently recruiting for an Administrator role in the NHS based over in the Gloucester area. Please apply for more details. Hours - 37.5. Location - Gloucester. Rate - £11.00 PAYE Per hour. Excellent verbal and written communication skills, consistently producing work to a high standard. … more

SEND Teaching Assistant

Posted a week ago by TeacherActive

SEND Teaching Assistant. Do you enjoy supporting and developing children with additional needs and behaviour that challenges. TeacherActive are looking for a SEND TA / Teaching Assistant in Gloucester to work in an independent specialist school which provides long term education for young people … more

Posted a week ago by 365 People

Job description. 365 People are currently working with an extremely reputable delivery firm to recruit collection and delivery drivers. The company. Really well-known and well-respected within the industry. Interesting and diverse client portfolio. Dynamic, forward-thinking, and progressive. … more

Posted yesterday by Retain Healthcare

Agency Health care assistant. 'The only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven't found it yet, then Retain Healthcare has the answer. Improve your work life balance and join us in our mission to improve lives for others. For more information please call our recruitment team on … more

Ganger / Chargehand

Posted 2 days ago by Matchtech

… x2 Chargehand or Gangers required to supervise a wide variety of highways maintenance or construction works, including supply chain partners. Ideal candidates will be able to take responsibility for a minimum 4-person team to ensure works are completed as specified and to the scheduled program. … more

Repairs Surveyor

Posted 2 days ago by Elevate Projects Ltd

Elevate Projects are working in partnership with our client, a registered social landlord and provider of affordable housing, to appoint an experienced repairs Surveyor on a contract basis to start ASAP. You will help ensure repairs works are completed to specified quality standards, with … more

Registered Nurse - Gloucester

Posted 2 days ago by Retain Healthcare

Registered Nurse. We are seeking Registered Nurses to work flexible hours for full and part time roles. We have a variety of projects coming up for Registered Nurses throughout the county. If you have a current NMC pin and availability we would love to tell you more about it. We offer. Flexible … more

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2 full time, Temp jobs in Quedgeley

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Traffic Marhsall

  • 14 November 2023
  • Randstad CPE - Gloucestershire, GL2 2BT
  • £15 to £17 per hour

Randstad is currently looking for a Traffic Marshall based in Gloucester for a long-term project. If you are interested please see further details. Key Skills / Responsibilities: Ensuring the safe passage of the general public around the site Monitoring ...

Postperson with Driving - Gloucester Delivery Office (GL2 4BB)

  • 13 November 2023
  • Royal Mail - Gloucester, GL2 4BB

​Delivery Postie with Driving Job reference: 303290 Location: Gloucester Delivery Office, GL2 4BB Job type: Permanent contract Hours: 30:00 hours per week, working 5 days across Mon-Sun, working between 08:00 and 14:48 Due to operational demand, please note ...

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Temporary jobs in Quedgeley

The Scouts Association-logo

Local Growth Assistant - Gloucestershire

We have an exciting opportunity for a Local Growth Assistant. to join our team based in Gloucestershire on a Fixed term Contract until 30th September 2024. Whilst working in a hybr...

Mobile Technical Staff-logo

Surface MountTechnician/Operator

Surface Mount Technician. Operator We are hiring Surface Mount Technician. Operator for our client in Gloucestershire reporting to the Shop floor supervisor. Salary from. 10.42 hr ...

Manpower UK Ltd-logo

Delivery Driver

Delivery Drivers Yate. BS37 4DG Monday to Sunday (5 days over 7) between 08 00 and 20 00. 13.37 per hour Manpower is pleased to be recruiting on behalf of our National Client for C...

Flourish Education-logo

Teaching Assistant

Flourish Education are seeking a Teaching Assistant (TA) on a part time basis to work in a mainstream primary school in Gloucester. Our client is located near central Gloucester an...

i-Jobs-logo

Pay and Reward Consultant

Our Client is seeking a Pay and Reward Consultant on an initial 6 Month contract with the possibility of an extension. Start Date. 04 12 2023. 01 03 2024 Location. W8 7NX Pay Rate....

Barker Ross-logo

Warehouse Operative

Barker Ross is currently recruiting for Warehouse Operatives in Filton, Bristol (BS34). Our client is a Tool and PPE delivery company. Key details. Warehouse operative. Valid UK dr...

Pertemps Gloucester-logo

Production Operator

Production Operator required in Tewkesbury, paying. 12.31ph to. 27.70ph. Overtime available, 12 week temp to perm contract, free on site parking, on site canteen. Our client is a w...

Vetro Recruitment-logo

Children's Residential Support Worker

Do you want to enable children and yong people who have been taken into care to have the best possible start in life? Are you enthusiastic, resilient, and driven to enrich and make...

Five Education-logo

Year 4 SEN Teaching Assistant

Five Education is working with a Primary School in Bath to find a skilful, hard working KS2 teaching assistant. This role requires organisation and SEN experience, as well as a wel...

RE People-logo

Casual Agency Staff / Bar Staff / Front of house / Waiter / Waitress

Casual Agency Staff. Bar Staff. Front of house. Waiter. Waitress Gloucestershire RE Recruitment's hospitality division are in search of charismatic individuals, suited to customer ...

Prospero Health & Social Care - Bristol-logo

SEN Teaching Assistant

SEN Teaching Assistant Location. Stroud, UK Salary. 90. 95 per day Contract. Full time, temp perm Hours. Monday Friday 08 30 15 30 We are seeking an experienced and passionate SEN ...

Initial Recruitment Services-logo

General Labourer

General Labourer. Berkeley, Gloucestershire. CSCS. 15 p h. Housing General Labourer required for an immediate start in Berkeley, Gloucestershire. To apply for the General Labourer ...

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Night Shift Manufacturing Operator x3 - Night Shift

Role. Manufacturing Operator. Night Shift Site Location. Cheltenham Rate. 20.22 PAYE Duration. 12 month contract Mon. Thurs (Apply online only) (37 hour working week over 4 nights)...

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Forklift Driver

Counterbalance Forklift Driver Tewkesbury. 12 p h Temp Perm Are you an experience and skilled Counterbalance Forklift Driver looking for an exciting opportunity to work in a dynami...

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SEND Learning Support Assistant

SEND LSA. Learning Support Assistant Do you believe all children should be supported to achieve? Do you have experience supporting children with additional and complex needs? A fan...

Travail Employment Group-logo

Experienced Warehouse Operative required for distribution company based in Stonehouse, GL10 paying. 11 per hour. Due to an increase in orders our client is looking for an additiona...

Rapier-logo

Warehouse Operative in Bristol

Join Our Team as a Warehouse Operative in Bristol!. Are you looking for a fantastic opportunity to kickstart your career in a dynamic and fast paced environment? Look no further! O...

Jackie Kerr Recruitment-logo

Forklift Driver Fairford. 10.92. 13.82 Per Hour Our well established client based in Fairford is looking for a Warehouse Operative to join their fast growing team! Forklift Driver ...

Ad Idem Consulting-logo

Interim FP&A Consultant

Our PE backed client is seeking to hire a contract Financial Planning and Analysis Manager to assist their newly acquired business in building and improving the existing FP&A funct...

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Mystery Shopper (Work From Home)

Would you like to work from home part time and be rewarded for sharing your opinion? Research Tribe is looking for people across the UK to participate in research opportunities. Yo...

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Here’s where the jobs are for November 2023 — in one chart

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The U.S. job market once again surprised to the upside in November, as strong growth in health care and a few other sectors helped the economy add nearly 200,000 jobs and push the unemployment rate down.

Health care and social assistance added more than 93,000 jobs for the month, making it the top category for job growth, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics . Government jobs grew by 49,000, while leisure and hospitality added 40,000 jobs.

The job gains for health care and social assistance rise to 99,000 when including private education, as some economists do.

Much of the labor market story over the past two years has been tied to the economic rebound from the Covid-19 pandemic, but the health-care growth appears to be part of a longer-term trend.

"We're back to 2019 in some ways. If prior to the pandemic, you would have said, 'Hey, health care's going to be one of the largest sources of hiring in late 2023,' no one would have been surprised by that, I think. There are very long-term structural tailwinds here," Nick Bunker, director of economic research at Indeed Hiring Lab, told CNBC.

Bunker also pointed out that health care is less sensitive to higher interest rates or other cyclical factors that affect the U.S. labor market.

Another key part of the jobs growth story in November was returning strike workers.

Manufacturing employment rose by 28,000, helped by the 30,000 jobs gained in motor vehicles and parts as the United Auto Workers strike ended. The information sector was also bolstered by the addition of 17,000 jobs from the motion picture and sound recording industries, as Hollywood production restarts after the actors' strike was resolved.

Retail trade was an outlier area to the downside, losing more than 38,000 jobs. The sector is roughly flat year over year in terms of total jobs, according to the Labor Department.

"I'm not spooked by it right now. … If you look at the nonseasonally adjusted gains for that sector, it's roughly in line with what we saw last year. So maybe the seasonal adjustments need to catch up or change. I think we've seen this with a variety of data," Bunker said. Don't miss these stories from CNBC PRO:

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comscore

November jobs report shows economy added 199,000 jobs; unemployment at 3.7%

temp jobs quedgeley

Hiring picked up in November as striking auto workers and actors returned to the fold, and businesses continued to largely shrug off high inflation and interest rates.

Employers added 199,000 jobs and the unemployment rate fell from 3.9% to 3.7%, the Labor Department said Friday.

Economists had estimated that 186,000 jobs were added last month, according to a Bloomberg survey.

Are wages increasing?

Average hourly earnings rose 12 cents to $34.10, keeping the yearly increase at 4%, down from a high of 5.9% last year. That’s good news for a Federal Reserve seeking to slow increases that are feeding into inflation. Fed officials would like to see wage growth ease to 3.5% to align with their 2% overall inflation goal. Wage growth topped 5% last year amid severe COVID-related labor shortages.

Will the Fed raise interest rates again?

The report bolsters economists' belief that the Fed will hold rates steady for the third straight meeting next week and is likely done with its sharp rate hikes intended to bring down inflation. Price increases have been moderating and the job market has been gradually cooling.

"What we wanted was a strong but moderating labor market, and that’s what we saw in the November report," says economist Robert Frick of Navy Federal Credit Union.

Yet the drop in the unemployment rate gives Fed Chair Jerome Powell more evidence to not rule out further rate increases and "push back on the idea that the Fed will be (cutting rates) soon," says Ian Shepherdson, chief economist of Pantheon Macroeconomics.

What is the stock market doing today?

Investors, who are eager for the Fed to lower interest rates to lift stocks, viewed the slowing payroll gains and falling unemployment as mixed but mildly positive. The Dow Jones industrial average was up about 100 points in mid-morning trading. The S&P 500 index rose 17 points, or 0.37% to 4,600.

What field is hiring the most right now?

Health care led the November job gains, adding 77,000. Government added 49,000 jobs and manufacturing, 28,000 as the auto walkout ended. Leisure and hospitality, which includes restaurants and bars, the sector hit hardest by pandemic-related layoffs, added 40,000.

Retail lost 38,000 jobs and transportation and warehousing shed 5,000.  Employers brought on fewer temporary workers than usual this holiday season, leading to losses on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Oxford Economics.

In an interview, Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su noted the decline in retail jobs but added that holiday sales are still strong.

"It's not reflective of people not buying stuff," she said. "This time two years ago, people were talking about supply chain snarls....We have more work to do but this (report) is a sign of overall economic strength."

Under the surface, though, the job market is losing some steam.

The resolution of strikes by the United Auto Workers and Screen Actors Guild boosted payroll gains by 47,000, the Labor Department said. After accounting for that and the big jump in government jobs, the private sector added just 103,000 jobs last month.

Still, the number of employees working for small businesses, and their hours, declined by less than usual this fall, according to Homebase, which makes employee scheduling software.

How is the job market in the US right now?

More broadly, job growth has slowed from an average monthly pace of about 300,000 early this year to still solid 200,000 recently. Economists predict monthly gains will downshift to about 40,000 by next summer and average just 55,000 for all of 2024, according to a survey last month by the National Association of Business Economics.

Nearly half of those economists say there’s a 26% to 50% chance of recession in the next year while a quarter believe a downturn is probable. The forecasters recently have lowered the odds amid a resilient economy.

But activity is slowing as low- and moderate-income households deplete their COVID-related stimulus checks and other savings . Credit card debt hovers at an all-time high, largely because of swiftly rising prices, and delinquencies have climbed.

Inflation has cooled to 3.2% since hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% last year due to pandemic-related supply snags and worker shortages, but it’s still above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. And although the Fed since July has paused its aggressive interest rate hikes to fight the price surge, its key rate remains at a 22-year high of 5.25% to 5%.

After the economy expanded at a blistering 5.2% annual rate in the third quarter, growth is expected to slow to about 1% in both the current quarter and next year, according to the NABE survey.

Payroll growth has been buoyed by companies' reluctance to lay off workers following the labor shortages but job cuts are expected to increase next year.

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U.S. Job Growth Holds Up as Economy Gradually Cools

Interest rate increases have taken the edge off labor demand, but unemployment dipped in November, and wages rose more than expected.

Monthly change in jobs

temp jobs quedgeley

+400,000 jobs

+199,000 jobs

in November

temp jobs quedgeley

Nov. ’22

Feb. ’23

Lydia DePillis

By Lydia DePillis

The U.S. economy continued to pump out jobs in November, suggesting there is still juice left in a labor market that has been slowing almost imperceptibly since last year’s pandemic rebound.

Employers added 199,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department reported Friday, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.7 percent, from 3.9 percent. The increase in employment includes tens of thousands of autoworkers and actors who returned to their jobs after strikes, and others in related businesses that had been stalled by the walkouts, meaning underlying job growth is slightly weaker.

Even so, the report signals that the economy remains far from recession territory despite a year and a half of interest rate increases that have weighed on consumer spending and business investment. Reinforcing the picture of energetic labor demand, wages jumped 0.4 percent over the month, more than expected, and the workweek lengthened slightly.

Wage growth held steady in November

Year-over-year percentage change in earnings vs. inflation

temp jobs quedgeley

AVG. HOURLY

PRICE INDEX

temp jobs quedgeley

Most analysts have been surprised by the durability of the recovery, which owes a lot to the cash that consumers accumulated over the past few years of federal stimulus and forced savings. That has powered service-industry jobs even in the face of rising costs and the resumption of mandatory student debt payments.

“That’s the definition of a soft landing: It’s slowing slowly, which is what you want,” said Martin Holdrich, a senior economist with Woods & Poole Economics. He noted, however, that given strong productivity growth , the enduring tightness of the labor market needn’t prompt the Federal Reserve to continue increasing interest rates.

“These numbers do not indicate an overheated economy and shortages that will drive up inflation,” Mr. Holdrich said.

The annual inflation rate has recently fallen to 3 percent , less than half what it was when the Fed’s interest rate increases began, and significantly lower than the current pace of wage growth. Americans appear to be noticing: Consumer confidence jumped sharply in December, according to data released Friday by the University of Michigan, and respondents’ expectations of future inflation dropped.

The Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee meets next week and is widely expected to continue its pause , with market speculation shifting to when in 2024 it will cut rates, and by how much. The major stock indexes rose after the report, as did bond yields.

November’s crop of jobs was essentially in line with the last few months, accounting for strike activity, though a step down from the 240,000 jobs added per month on average over the year ended in October. During the November survey, there were still about 10,000 workers still on strike at workplaces including casinos and hospitals.

Employment growth has narrowed, however, with most gains coming from service industries and the public sector. In November, health care added 77,000 jobs and government added 49,000 — both employers that are less tethered to the underlying strength of the economy.

For businesses that depend on selling physical goods, it’s been a different story. Manufacturers added back jobs lost during the auto strikes but have otherwise been stagnant since the beginning of the year. The retail industry shed 38,000 positions on a seasonally adjusted basis, reflecting what appears to be the weakest holiday hiring season since 2013 .

Some industries saw job losses

Monthly change in jobs, by sector

temp jobs quedgeley

+99,000 jobs

Education and health

Leisure and hospitality

Manufacturing

Construction

–9,000

–38,400

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Business services

“Why we’ve seen labor demand be more resilient than we maybe thought it was going to be six months ago is that structural strength in government and health care,” said Olivia Cross, who covers North America at the research firm Capital Economics. “The more cyclical sectors where we have seen weakening much more substantially, I think we expect those to continue to weaken.”

Temporary help services, often considered a bellwether for labor demand, dropped 14,000 jobs in November and have lost 177,000 over the past year, an indication that employers can handle customer requests with their regular staff.

That’s certainly true for Luke Barber. He runs an industrial packaging company in Bangor, Mich., and most of his customers are suppliers to the auto industry that need to store and ship their products without damage. Mr. Barber got a surge of orders as those manufacturers built up their inventories during the strikes by autoworkers in September and October, which meant scheduling overtime for his 70 employees as well as bringing on 30 temporary workers.

Now, with stockrooms filled, those contracts have ended. Mr. Barber let go of his temps and is just trying to keep his staff busy. He doesn’t foresee laying anyone off, but he is investing in automation to make his labor spending go further; the pandemic period had made it difficult to maintain a full roster, and he said he had increased wages 25 to 30 percent since 2019.

“They’re saying that inflation is trending down right now, but we’re not going to go back and take back the raises we just issued,” Mr. Barber said. In the coming year, he sees people buying fewer cars as auto suppliers invest more in research and development to switch their supply chains to battery electric vehicles.

“We’re entering this cycle on the auto side with lower volumes, and you don’t have consumer demand there, and you have high cost of credit,” Mr. Barber said. “So I anticipate a bit of constriction.”

The trajectory for most of 2023 has pointed toward the sort of steady, painless easing that the Fed is seeking with its interest rate policy: A record number of job openings has receded without a concerning rise in the unemployment rate.

Some industries that surged during the pandemic have pulled back, but others that were still thirsty for labor soaked up excess workers, helping to stave off a rise in joblessness. Entertainment, hotels and restaurants added 40,000 jobs in November but remain 158,000 jobs from the industry’s peak in February 2020, indicating there’s still room to grow.

“If you have a sector like wholesale or retail trade start to shed workers, they can very easily transition into something like leisure and hospitality,” said Michael Reid, a U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets. “If those sectors start to see a pullback in spending, we still do see strength in health care and social assistance.”

Although the unemployment rate has crept up from a historic low earlier in the year, much of that has been fueled by people starting to look for work. The labor force has grown by 1.16 million people since July.

The unemployment rate ticked down in November

Unemployment rate

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The share of people over 55 who are in the labor force — working or looking for work — dropped in 2020 and hasn’t recovered, but those between the ages of 25 and 54 have rushed back. It has become increasingly apparent that women in that age bracket, who achieved a record level of participation this year, have benefited from the broader availability of remote work. If the availability of child care and elder care continues to recover — those workforces still haven’t reached their prepandemic levels — even more parents may opt to take jobs as well.

That influx of workers, which includes a recovery in immigration flows, has also taken the air out of wage increases, and made it more difficult for people on the margins of the labor market to find stable jobs with decent pay.

Joshua Rosenthal, 33, went to trade school for massage therapy and lives in Erie, Pa. But after a couple of occupational injuries, including a herniated disc in his lower back from working at a trampoline park, he is unable to do anything very physical. So he looked for work from July to October, applying for some 200 jobs before he landed a position as a technician at a compounding pharmacy that now pays $16 an hour.

“People are paying, like, a little better when it comes to wages, but it’s still not reaching a livable wage, or what I would call thrivable; it’s more like a subsistence level,” said Mr. Rosenthal, who lives with his mother to save money. “I know they say people are hiring, but I don’t really believe it.”

Despite the stronger-for-longer performance of the labor market so far, most forecasters expect a continued weakening in job growth in early 2024 as consumers run through their savings, reducing spending, and the remaining pockets of labor shortage fill up.

But that won’t necessarily mean a difficult downturn: Three in four members surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics in November figured that the likelihood of a recession within the next year was less than 50 percent.

Lydia DePillis reports on the American economy. She has been a journalist since 2009, and can be reached at [email protected]. More about Lydia DePillis

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